Thursday, March 7, 2013

2B2F : Too big to fail : BKIA & BMPS : Spain & Italy banks

Both banks are too big to fail, both had their government helping them (18B€ for Bankia, 4B€ for Banca Monte Paschi) and both are penny stocks today (max volatility!).

Both will recover in the long run, Banca Monte Paschi (BMPS) will still the oldest bank in the world :-) and the 3rd Italian bank. Bankia is the 4th biggest bank in Spain.

Great investment opportunity (remember Citigroup few years ago and in the 90's, or french Natixis bank in 2007 ? => penny stocks, gov. and big investors helped them to survive and recover from the financial crisis !).


Saturday, September 22, 2012

Gold Analysis - Sept 12

 
In blue central banks holdings, and in yellow gold spot price.


Russia aims to increase its official gold reserves to 3000 tons (against 918 tonnes today).  
China, meanwhile, has claimed it will raise its gold holdings to 4,000 tons of gold (against 1054 currently).


US Quantitative Easing vs. Gold price
 

Graphique du ratio indice minières/cours de l'or

Gold mining companies / gold price ratio

Le cours des minières (en rouge) rattrapent son retard sur le cours de l'or (en bleu)

Gold mining companies (in red) are coming back close to gold price.


Graphique de l'historique et l'estimation du PER sur l'or

We still have a low P/E ratio on Gold.

Saisonnalité de l'or calculée sur plus de trente ans
Time to invest in gold.


Graphique du cours de l'or

A pull-back is coming soon, then we will break the $1,800 resistance and  reach the $1,900-$2,000 zone.

Graphique du GDX

Back to the $48, it will be a good opportunity  to invest in Gold mining companies.


Graphique de l'indicateur de sentiment sur l'or

Bull market ! Not yet 80...(overbought) (under 30 -> oversold)